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2021 shortages
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They may be talking about the EMPTY containers piled up, nobody wants to take empty ones back to china - no profitFrom the article:
"The International Longshore and Warehouse Union says their members will work a third shift, but only after the pileup of containers is fetched out of the port so there is space."
That's some pretty ****ed up logic right there. The reason a third shift is needed is to... wait for it... get the pileup of containers out of the port.In other words, we'll gladly come to work once there is no work for us to do.
There is a massive pileup of full containers at the port. They have been offloading from the ship to storage yards, where they sometimes sit for a few weeks before being pickup up (due to being buried in the storage yard and a trucker / chassis shortage).
The empties aren't making the return trip to Asia because none of the ships want to spend the time getting reloaded. Much more profitable to head back empty....as the real money is in Asia -> USA.
The $14 trillion reason you should care about the shipping container shortage
Some 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, which makes the current shortage a real problem.
me & a few friends used to spend ~5k for a container from chicago to west africa. we'd load them with cars and make a nice profit. this was in '19.
‘A perfect storm’: supply chain crisis could blow world economy off course
From Liverpool to LA, shortages of energy, labour and transport are threatening recovery from Covid
Chipmakers Scold Automakers on Chip Shortage, Tell Them to Get With the Times
It seems a bit of a conundrum. Cars, while they’re among the most expensive consumer goods in the world, also happen to depend on the cheapest poss...
www.autoevolution.com
I’m watching the energy situation closely. Natural gas inventories down 15.4% compared to last year.
Covid was not the problem. The successful fear mongering and resulting lockdowns/mandates are what caused this.
Many many people seen this coming, it was beyond obvious to most of the business community.
Problem is, folks that were warning of this coming are mostly Trump voters and not to be listened to.
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It all stinks like a man made crisis. On every levelCovid was not the problem. The successful fear mongering and resulting lockdowns/mandates are the problem..
Many many people seen this coming, it was beyond obvious to most of the business community.
Problem is that folks warning of this coming are mostly Trump voters and not to be listened to.
The question we have to face now is whether we let them win again???
Can we survive it if we do?
.
China shut down.
Then we shut down.
Shipping from there was essentially stopped.
The general population stopped spending money on services (restaurants, movies, travel, e.t.c) and spent it on tangible items (crap from China), depleting store shelves and warehouses.
Retailers have been trying to play catch up ever since, many with record sales and warehouses getting emptied out.
Now add in delays due to random factory, port, truck and rail issues (many due to staffing over covid cases, free govment $$$).
During the peak of covid, many ships were pulled out of transit for repairs, e.t.c - tightening capacity and driving up rates.
Now every day a container ship is at anchor is another day late it's next trip will be (or skipped entirely). Some container ships have been at anchor in LA / Long Beach 25+ days (a one way sail from Asia -> LA is roughly 13 days...Many vessels have had countless "blank sailings", or skipped ships. That's a LOT of capacity gone.
To add to that, every retailer is trying to ship as much as they can here, as quick as they can. Rates are setting new records every week, with really no end in site as retailers are paying them.
It's essentially a never ending peak season, but hey, what do I know
.
It is now forecasted to continue thru '22 into '23....
Then we shut down.
Shipping from there was essentially stopped.
The general population stopped spending money on services (restaurants, movies, travel, e.t.c) and spent it on tangible items (crap from China), depleting store shelves and warehouses.
Retailers have been trying to play catch up ever since, many with record sales and warehouses getting emptied out.
Now add in delays due to random factory, port, truck and rail issues (many due to staffing over covid cases, free govment $$$).
During the peak of covid, many ships were pulled out of transit for repairs, e.t.c - tightening capacity and driving up rates.
Now every day a container ship is at anchor is another day late it's next trip will be (or skipped entirely). Some container ships have been at anchor in LA / Long Beach 25+ days (a one way sail from Asia -> LA is roughly 13 days...Many vessels have had countless "blank sailings", or skipped ships. That's a LOT of capacity gone.
To add to that, every retailer is trying to ship as much as they can here, as quick as they can. Rates are setting new records every week, with really no end in site as retailers are paying them.
It's essentially a never ending peak season, but hey, what do I know
.It is now forecasted to continue thru '22 into '23....
Ripples turn into waves. We are going to witness the combination of covid shutdowns plus the green new deal resulting in shortages of goods/services/energy worldwide.
It takes X number of BTU’s to create the energy that turns the lights on. When we stopped using and producing coal we pushed the demand onto natural gas. We also stopped exporting coal.
when we shut the ports down at the same time as giving away free money we created a supply/demand imbalance.
now that supply demand imbalance is being worsened by poor harvests in Europe and factory shutdowns in China and next week India.
the perfect storm, perhaps we have a shortage of cheap goods, perhaps we have a shortage of food. That remains to be seen.
This is a man made ( meaning political ) disaster....
It's going to get worse, stock up now!
Thanks bidiot, and your communist regime!
The cure for high prices, is high prices.
Conversely, the cure for low prices is low prices.
All you can do is try to be ahead of the curve.
Conversely, the cure for low prices is low prices.
All you can do is try to be ahead of the curve.
I'm just wondering what the period is on that curve... how many years equity are we burning through right now?
Well, I’m not the guy to ask.
When the Dow topped 3000, I was just a kid but my dad went on and on about how that was unsustainable, and he preached that every major mark it went over til about 18k when he finally gave up.
From my viewpoint, you can’t count on it going up all the time, but many won’t short the market.
Don’t bet on equity, bet on the pendulum moving.
But, it appears I have turned in to my dad.
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