I don’t disagree with any of this. The part about this not being an ”organic” change is what disappoints me.I think that’s been mentioned earlier in this thread. Maybe 25K? So maybe a year to break even on carbon. Today’s batteries last ~120K miles. So that’s a big reason not to buy an EV. You pay at least $60K for a new car, drive it for maybe 3 or 4 years, and by then you’re gonna need a $8k+ battery? Not viable to me.
But. I read where Tesla’s newest battery technology will have a much higher energy density and last 10000K cycles. If you get 300 miles per charge that’s like 3M miles. And the new technology uses much less rare earth minerals so they’re cheaper to make. So probably less carbon footprint making them. No idea when or if these batteries will be integrated in production.
The thing is, we can notice a lot of reasons to think EV’s aren’t viable now. Eventually technology will solve those problems. I’m not saying that EV’s will be what kills ICE (if that replacement were organic and not political). By the time battery powered vehicles could replace ICE, there’s nothing saying some other technology won’t displace that first. But ICE engines will likely be replaced by something. At least for common use.