Ebola on the horizon?

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  • T.Lex

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    You want the good news or bad news first?

    Ok, the good news - Liberia is a day away from officially being ebola-free. w00t! Go Liberia!

    Bad news - live ebola virus has been found in another bodily fluid after the patient recovered from the primary infection. For some reason, this creeps me out more than the private-part bodily fluid.
    Ebola 'lives on in eye of US survivor' - BBC News

    Now a team, including scientists from Emory University School of Medicine, say it could also persist in the eye and lead to further damage.
    Their 43-year-old patient recovered from a serious Ebola infection that needed weeks of intensive care.
    But shortly after being discharged, he had a burning sensation in his eyes and suffered worsening blurry vision.
    Tests showed the fluid in his left eye had live Ebola virus.
     

    T.Lex

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    So, I'm definitely going to have to stop loaning my contact lenses to that new guy at work with the funny accent.

    First, as a guy who wore contact lenses for 20 years: ick.

    Second, Liberia is ebola-free.
    Liberia declared Ebola-free after weeks of no cases - BBC News

    But, in a SMH misuse of a great metaphor, Liberian President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf said, "We will celebrate our communities which have taken responsibility and participated in fighting this unknown enemy and finally we've crossed the Rubicon."

    Well, no ma'am, you did not. I do not think that phrase means what you think it means.

    Point of no return - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

    • "Crossing the Rubicon" is a metaphor for deliberately proceeding past a point of no return. The phrase originates with Julius Caesar's seizure of power in the Roman Republic in 49 BC. Roman generals were strictly forbidden from bringing their troops into the home territory of the Republic in Italy. On 10 January, Caesar led his army across the Rubicon River, crossing from the province of Cisalpine Gaul into Italy. After this, if he did not triumph, he would be executed. Therefore the term "the Rubicon" is used as a synonym to the "point of no return".

    • "Alea iacta est" ("The die is cast"), which is reportedly what Caesar said at the crossing of the Rubicon. This metaphor comes from gambling with dice: once the die or dice have been thrown, all bets are irrevocable, even before the dice have come to rest.

    Great reference, misapplied.
     

    T.Lex

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    Yeah, I've read different things trying to forecast what The Next One will be. IMHO, they range from silly to staggering. Only time will tell.

    My gut reaction, though, is that ebola will be pretty well controlled from now on (unless there's a significant mutation). Dealing with 15-20, or even double that, won't be a problem for them from an infrastructure standpoint. If it tops 100 in a week again, with significant mortality, that'll be different.
     

    T.Lex

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    Simmering summer.
    Africa's Ebola outbreak has not run its course: U.N. envoy | Reuters
    Africa's Ebola epidemic has not run its course and around 30 people are still getting infected each week, the United Nations' special envoy for the disease said on Monday.
    ...
    He said under normal circumstances, an infection rate of 30 people a week would be considered "a major, major outbreak".
    "Probably about one third of these people are not coming from the contact list, which means they are surprise cases, and that’s a big worry," Nabarro earlier told a conference organised by the World Health Organization.

    Or there's a transmission mechanism that we don't recognize.
     
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