Gun Control and Mass Murders - John R. Lott Jr. - National Review Online
In places where guns laws are much more restrictive, rates of mass murders are not much less common. I see it this way: A mass murder is a scary way to die. But it's not a likely way to die. I'll give two illustrative examples.
You are more likely to die from hot tap water than from a shark attack:
Source:
Your Odds Of Dying In A Shark Attack (And Other Accidental Death Stats)
More people died as a result of additional car crashes after 9/11 (pwople drove instead of flew in fear for their safety, but this fear made them less safe).
Source:
9/11's fatal road toll: terror attacks presaged rise in U.S. car deaths - This Week | Science News | Find Articles at BNET
So if someone cite fear of death from a crazy person getting a hold of a gun as a reason to restrict what sort of guns you may own, you can tell them that this has been shown to be an ineffective strategy in Western Europe (although their gun ownership rates are far lower), and this type of thinking has lead to many deaths in other fields of human endeavor. One should be wary not to think too much about the scary ways to die, and instead use science to find likely ways to die, and to try to find strategies to deal with that, if indeed your goal is to save lives.
Excerpt FTA said:I don’t have exactly comparable data for Europe; however, the data I have been able to collect for the nine and a half years from 2001 through now indicate that on average some 12.5 people per year have died in such attacks. To be sure, Western Europe has a lower per capita rate, since its population over the last decade has been about 48 percent larger than the U.S. population over the earlier period (about 387 million to 262 million). Still, the fact that there are such attacks at all belies the conventional wisdom.
In places where guns laws are much more restrictive, rates of mass murders are not much less common. I see it this way: A mass murder is a scary way to die. But it's not a likely way to die. I'll give two illustrative examples.
You are more likely to die from hot tap water than from a shark attack:
Table Excerpt said:Cause of Death Total Number Shark Attack 4 (out of 57 total attacks) Contact with hot tap-water 26
Source:
Your Odds Of Dying In A Shark Attack (And Other Accidental Death Stats)
More people died as a result of additional car crashes after 9/11 (pwople drove instead of flew in fear for their safety, but this fear made them less safe).
Excerpt FTA said:The crashes of four airplanes and the massive loss of life in the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks traumatized people throughout the nation. Tragically, in the last 3 months of that year, fear of flying revved up car use and caused a second toll of lives on U.S. roads, a new analysis suggests.
Compared with the average number of automotive fatalities for the same months from 1996 through 2000, an additional 353 people died in car crashes in October, November, and December of 2001, says psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer of the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin. Surplus road fatalities following the terrorist attacks thus exceeded the 266 fatalities on the four ill-fated aircraft.
Source:
9/11's fatal road toll: terror attacks presaged rise in U.S. car deaths - This Week | Science News | Find Articles at BNET
So if someone cite fear of death from a crazy person getting a hold of a gun as a reason to restrict what sort of guns you may own, you can tell them that this has been shown to be an ineffective strategy in Western Europe (although their gun ownership rates are far lower), and this type of thinking has lead to many deaths in other fields of human endeavor. One should be wary not to think too much about the scary ways to die, and instead use science to find likely ways to die, and to try to find strategies to deal with that, if indeed your goal is to save lives.